- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves vs Giants Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Braves / Giants TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Braves are 61-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 58-62 ATS.
Braves vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.77 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 2-3, 4.31 ERA
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 6.5 -105 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 6.5 -115 | -105 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+18.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+14.65 Units / 102% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 23 games (+43.40 Units / 189% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+18.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 103 games (+25.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 away games (+9.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 88 games (+6.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 51-66 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -12.54% ROI).
- 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.1 Units / -13.1% ROI
- 45-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -28 Units / -21.91% ROI
- 67-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.25 Units / 13.29% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 58-62 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.72% ROI).
- 61-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -11.75% ROI
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell (SF) | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +100 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -140 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (66 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .415 (17-for-41) against Chris Sale on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — third Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 35 of 206 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (67-for-497) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (314/997 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (378/1,266 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 100-64 (.610) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Braves are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves are 45-86 (.344) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are 29-184 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are just 29-47 (.382) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .484 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves had an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .694 (7,472 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are batting just .248 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .185 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have walked 59 of 1,041 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 241 of 3,938 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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