- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSO
The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Braves are 35-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 40-26 ATS.
Braves vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-2, 8.39 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 10.14 ERA
Braves vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Braves vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+21.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+19.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+18.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 39 games (+17.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 24 games at home (+31.65 Units / 132% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+21.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 29 away games (+13.64 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 57 games (+20.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-34 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -5.9% ROI).
- 35-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 23-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -27.72% ROI
- 39-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.65 Units / 19.2% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 40-26 against the Run Line (+20.55 Units / 26.69% ROI).
- 44-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 13.9% ROI
- 33-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 9.83% ROI
- 24-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -17.33% ROI
Orioles vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Orioles vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Orioles vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 77% (65/85) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 77% (65/85) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (16/36) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach had a strike rate of 77% (65/85) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has a strike rate of just 58% (58/100) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Cade Povich has a strikeout rate of just 8% (2 SO in 25 PAs) this month (1 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 21% — fourth Percentile.
Cade Povich has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (13/25) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 62% — 16th Percentile.
Cade Povich had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (13/25) — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves are 34-63 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 50-50 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 49-25 (.662) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .468 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Braves hitters are slugging .688 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters are slugging .472 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Orioles hitters are slugging .323 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Orioles hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles are 234-152 (.600) against the run line (15.3% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,513 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,513 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 237 of 3,492 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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