- The Braves (58-40) are -120 favorites vs the Phillies (50-46)
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (4-3), 3.02 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola (6-7), 3.12 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+100) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 58-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 50-46 ATS.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -120 | -120 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 +100 | +100 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 60 of his last 86 games (+19.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 55 games (+18.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 84 games (+15.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 86 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+13.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 32 games at home (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Didi Gregorius | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Didi Gregorius | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Didi Gregorius | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Spencer Strider | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 72 games (+19.22 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 48 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 91 games (+10.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.86% ROI).
- 58-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -9.28% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 50-46 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 3.99% ROI).
- 50-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.4% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -9.13% ROI
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (114 SO in 301 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 41% (81 SO in 199 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 47% (36 SO in 77 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 45% (45 SO in 100 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 16 of 488 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of .581 (43 Total Bases / 74 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .113 (6-for-53) against Aaron Nola on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 5 of 261 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 24-3 (.889) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Braves are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 34-10 (.773) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Braves are 25-19 (.568) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are just 1-10 (.091) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are 25-22 (.532) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Phillies are 10-34 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .698 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Braves hitters have 228 extra-base hits out of 549 total hits (41%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters are slugging .500 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Phillies are just 1-10 (.091) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies hitters are slugging .612 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (383.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH since the start of last season (6,238 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .248 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): COVID-19, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.