- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Braves vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Reds TV Channel: BSSO | BSOH
The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Braves are 81-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 86-66 ATS.
Braves vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 6-7, 3.74 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Jakob Junis 4-0, 2.75 ERA
Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -105 | +125 |
Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 35 games (+24.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+21.70 Units / 155% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 37 games (+26.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 137 games (+33.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 134 games (+15.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games at home (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 61 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 69-82 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -9.22% ROI).
- 81-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.25 Units / -9.94% ROI
- 57-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.8 Units / -24.14% ROI
- 89-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.1 Units / 15.58% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 86-66 against the Run Line (+11.4 Units / 5.63% ROI).
- 74-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 71-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 73-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -3.12% ROI
Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Jakob Junis (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (3 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last start — tied for lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (19/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 119 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (160/214) this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
30 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season — most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has walked 7 of 215 batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has walked 28 of 582 batters (5%) since last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves are 57-32 (.640) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (888/11,901) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .480 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Reds hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .226 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 369 of 4,214 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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