- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Braves vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Braves / Rockies TV Channel: BSSE | ROTV
The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Braves are 61-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 59-59 ATS.
Braves vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-5, 4.04 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 3-4, 5.69 ERA
Braves vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | O 10.5 -115 | -175 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -105 | +145 |
Braves vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+16.20 Units / 125% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+14.65 Units / 102% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 36 games (+37.80 Units / 105% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+13.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 102 games (+26.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 away games (+8.04 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games at home (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 51-65 against the Run Line (-16.2 Units / -11.8% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.4 Units / -12.32% ROI
- 44-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -29 Units / -22.89% ROI
- 67-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 14.26% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 59-59 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 43-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.86% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -6.24% ROI
Rockies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has not walked a batter in his last 24.2 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 73 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 30th — the longest active streak is 83.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (159/446) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 10 of 262 batters (4%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 92 of Kyle Freeland’s 469 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (81-for-200) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (424/897) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 19-96 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 70-132 (.347) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are 34-78 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 72-30 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 11-30 (.268) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rockies are just 72-42 (.632) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .689 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .481 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves have an average Exit Velocity of 90.7 MPH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,968 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .279 (540 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Braves pitchers this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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