- Brewers / Angels TV Channel: BSW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-130) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Tempe, AZ.
Last season, the Brewers were 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels were 2-0 ATS.
Brewers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +110 |
| Angels | -130 |
Brewers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Livan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Brewers went 1-1 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -10% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Angels went 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 71.43% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 65% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Janson Junk has limited playing time.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has an average spin rate of 2083.2 RPM on sliders since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 2403.1 — fifth Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH on changeups since the 2021 season (270 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 86.4
Zach Plesac has an average spin rate of 2120.6 RPM on sliders since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — eighth Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.8 MPH against his fastballs since the 2021 season (360 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 90.5
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
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