- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 13-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-10 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| RBis will Jarred Kelenic | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Eric Lauer | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 12-6 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 27.85% ROI).
- 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 46.54% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -5.49% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -4.35% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -12.77% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -18.08% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 11.75% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -20.05% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has thrown inside pitches 60% of the time (35/58) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of .812 (13 Total Bases / 16 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .379 — third Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,895/4,396) in non-two strike counts since the 2020 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 50 PAs) in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (88/560) against Marco Gonzales since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (109 SO in 377 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has an average fastball velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are 19-10 (.655) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 13-4 (.765) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Brewers are just 80-5 (.941) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Brewers are 10-62 (.139) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 36-15 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are just 8-10 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Mariners are 66-14 (.825) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Mariners are 27-27 (.500) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .385 (226 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .348 (574 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .747 (4,985 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .222 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.17 (54.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have 38 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for most in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Burnes (Brewers): Pectoral, Day-to-Day
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