- Get expert MLB betting predictions for the Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card series.
- Milwaukee is -130 to win Thursday's Game 3.
The Milwaukee Brewers staved off elimination with a 5-3 win over the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card series.
Jackson Chourio, the youngest player in the majors, clubbed two home runs for the Brewers, including a game-tying blast in the eighth inning. Garrett Mitchell delivered a go-ahead two-run homer later in the inning to complete the comeback win.
Milwaukee’s Devin Williams shut the door with a scoreless ninth inning.
The Game 2 theatrics set up an elimination game for both teams. The winner of Thursday’s Game 3 will face the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLDS.
Here is a look at the latest MLB betting lines for the Brewers vs. Mets battle and my best bet for Game 3:
MLB Playoff Odds – Brewers vs. Mets
- Brewers moneyline: -130
- Mets moneyline: +110
- Over/Under: 7.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
Brewers vs. Mets Schedule, Pitchers
| Game | Date/Time | Brewers SP | Mets SP | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 3 | Oct. 3/7:08 p.m. ET | Tobias Myers | José Quintana | ESPN |
Brewers vs. Mets Prediction, Game 3 Best Bet
Best bet: Brewers moneyline (-120)
Unsurprisingly, our MLB postseason odds are highly efficient for Thursday’s Game 3. But if you had to place a bet on this high-stakes matchup, I’d recommend taking Milwaukee’s moneyline at -120 or better.
THE BAT X projects a 54.26% chance of victory for the Brewers, suggesting a fair price for the home team is -118. FanGraphs gives Milwaukee a 58.3% chance of winning, suggesting the -120 line has more value.
Milwaukee will look to make history on Thursday. Since the best-of-three Wild Card series was introduced in 2022, no team has advanced to the next round after losing Game 1. This is only the second time (out of 12 series) that a Game 3 was even needed.
The Brewers are also seeking their first playoff series win since 2018.
Milwaukee manager Pat Murphy will be aggressive with his bullpen on Thursday, which could be the difference in the game. Milwaukee’s relievers led the NL in ERA, while New York’s bullpen was last among all playoff teams.
The Mets are also playing their eighth game in the last seven days.
I believe the Brewers will advance to the NLDS on Thursday.
Brewers vs. Mets: Betting Stats
- Milwaukee Brewers 2024 Moneyline Record: 94-70
- Milwaukee Brewers 2024 Over/Under Record: 85-70
- New York Mets 2024 Moneyline Record: 90-74
- New York Mets 2024 Over/Under Record: 83-76
Brewers vs. Mets 2024 Season Series
| Date | Location | Result |
|---|---|---|
| March 29 | Citi Field | Brewers 3, Mets 1 |
| March 30 | Citi Field | Brewers 7, Mets 6 |
| March 31 | Citi Field | Brewers 4, Mets 1 |
| Sept. 27 | American Family Field | Brewers 8, Mets 4 |
| Sept. 28 | American Family Field | Brewers 6, Mets 0 |
| Sept. 29 | American Family Field | Mets 5, Brewers 0 |
| Oct. 1 | American Family Field | Mets 8, Brewers 4 |
| Oct. 2 | American Family Field | Brewers 5, Mets 3 |
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