Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (54-43) are -250 favorites vs the Cardinals (51-47)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-8), 3.40 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (7-7), 3.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The St. Louis Cardinals (+200) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 43-54 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 +100O 8 -105+200
Blue Jays -1.5 -120U 8 -115-250

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 away games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Albert Pujols has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+16.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games at home (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Bo Bichette 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
George Springer 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Bo Bichette 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bo Bichette 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
George Springer 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
Gausman 6.5 -110 6.5 -130
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 75 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 55 games (+23.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 91% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-46 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 1.96% ROI).

  • 51-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.53% ROI
  • 46-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -6.84% ROI
  • 48-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -2.32% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-54 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -12.96% ROI).

  • 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -7.65% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 3.21% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -13.2% ROI

Adam Wainwright allowed a batting average of just .160 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (47/298) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (104/335) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of Adam Wainwright’s pitches (298/570) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .443 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (342/826) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (546/1,058) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has 85 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 13-38 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cardinals are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 31-19 (.620) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Blue Jays are 42-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 468 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,029 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 540 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .457 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 82 of 867 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 96 double plays in 723 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 728 of 9,525 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.