Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 14

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-74 ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 8-6, 4.19 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 15-9, 3.54 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -190O 8 -105+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +155U 8 -115-135

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 11 away games (+12.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games at home (+10.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 73-73 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -3.96% ROI).

  • 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.97% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-74 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -7.05% ROI).

  • 69-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -11.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios (TOR) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kyle Gibson (STL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (327/589) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,508/2,516) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 23 of 152 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (90/308) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (29-for-92) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (115/573) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (316/547) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of just .627 (549 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 88th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Cardinals are 39-18 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 23-14 (.622) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are just 15-68 (.181) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .685 (3,165 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (3,165 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Blue Jays are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,949 strikeouts in 10,231 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn 360 walks in 3,945 PA’s (9%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cardinals have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 287 of 4,214 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.