Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 14

min read
Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 14, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-74 ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 8-6, 4.19 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 15-9, 3.54 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -190O 8 -105+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +155U 8 -115-135

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 11 away games (+12.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games at home (+10.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 73-73 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -3.96% ROI).

  • 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.97% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-74 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -7.05% ROI).

  • 69-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -11.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios (TOR) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kyle Gibson (STL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (327/589) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,508/2,516) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 23 of 152 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (90/308) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (29-for-92) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (115/573) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (316/547) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of just .627 (549 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 88th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Cardinals are 39-18 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 23-14 (.622) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are just 15-68 (.181) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .685 (3,165 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (3,165 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Blue Jays are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,949 strikeouts in 10,231 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn 360 walks in 3,945 PA’s (9%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cardinals have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 287 of 4,214 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Cardinals vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.