- The Braves (47-34) are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals (44-38)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-3), 2.10 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (6-5), 5.30 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSO
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 44-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 42-39 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -105 | +120 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -115 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 away games (+7.70 Units / 93% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 67 games (+27.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 67 games (+18.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 45 of his last 66 games (+16.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 69 games (+15.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 61% ROI)
Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Dansby Swanson | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Anderson | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Andre Pallante | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 59 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 55 games (+20.82 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+13.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 69 games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 45-37 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 5.27% ROI).
- 44-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.4% ROI
- 40-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 38-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -6.48% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-39 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.43% ROI).
- 47-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.95% ROI
- 41-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 37-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -9.19% ROI
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (79/119) against Andre Pallante in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (113/175) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (31/44) against Andre Pallante — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (50/77) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.218 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .751 — first Percentile.
Ian Anderson has allowed an OBP of .472 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (69/203) against Ian Anderson on low breaking pitches this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.
Ian Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .746 (47 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .433 — third Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 18-5 (.783) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Cardinals are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .920.
The Cardinals are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Braves are just 39-7 (.848) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Braves are 22-17 (.564) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 431 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 215 extra-base hits out of 503 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,872 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Cardinals are batting .266 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .737 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Braves hitters have 220 extra-base hits out of 509 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have 92 extra-base hits out of 200 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have 262 extra-base hits out of 616 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 74 of 726 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 83 double plays in 621 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Braves): Heart, D15
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Johan Oviedo (Cardinals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Illness, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.