Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2022, 11:32 AM
  • The Cardinals (71-52) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (53-70)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (10-9), 3.31 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Luke Farrell (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The St. Louis Cardinals (-225) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+180) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 68-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 62-59 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -135O 8.5 -110-225
Cubs +1.5 +110U 8.5 -110+180

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 60.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+20.75 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+18.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 50 of his last 68 games (+14.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 51 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 67-53 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 8.02% ROI).

  • 68-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 5.76% ROI
  • 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.82% ROI
  • 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.19% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 62-59 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -3.69% ROI).

  • 52-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -10.82% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.08% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 3.01% ROI

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (77/458) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 18% (26 SO in 147 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (124/613) against Miles Mikolas this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/86) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luke Farrell: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 10-9 (.526) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 41-8 (.837) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Cardinals are 36-8 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 52-56 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Cubs are just 27-37 (.422) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Cubs are just 3-53 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are just 26-102 (.203) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Cardinals hitters have 232 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .950 (377 PA’s) on the road this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .537 over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.005 (258 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .230 (204 PA’s) against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .365 (68 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .159 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 113 double plays in 900 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (21 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Cubs have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.