- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Padres TV Channel: BSMW | PDTV
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cardinals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-4 ATS.
Cardinals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-1, 11.26 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-0, 1.04 ERA
Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+19.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 15.87% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 18.69% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -20.35% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.03 Units / -0.42% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.21 Units / -14.07% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.87 Units / 48.8% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -59.06% ROI
Padres vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gorman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Contreras | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Goldschmidt | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Winn | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 -3000 |
Padres vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Goldschmidt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Contreras | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Arenado | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Gorman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Winn | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Padres vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gorman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Goldschmidt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Contreras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Winn | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Padres vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mikolas | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Darvish | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .359 (142 Total Bases / 396 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 14th, 2023 — Steven Matz has the longest active streak at 8.
Yu Darvish has thrown inside pitches 35% of the time (472/1,365) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 87th Percentile.
Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .230 (391 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cardinals were just 19-28 (.404) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were just 71-91 (.438) in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 6-124 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Padres are just 15-29 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Padres were just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .331 (6,067 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Cardinals are batting .281 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .259 (6,539 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cardinals are batting .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Padres batted .271 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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