Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:21 AM
  • The Red Sox (35-30) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (37-29)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-3), 3.28 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (1-1), 5.74 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-30 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 10 -105+105
Red Sox -1.5 +150U 10 -115-125

Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 75.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 29 games at home (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
    Jarren Duran 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

    Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
    J.D. Martinez 1.5 +125 1.5 -175
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Kevin Plawecki 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

    Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Jarren Duran 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

    Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Dakota Hudson 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 64 games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 8.06% ROI).

    • 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.58% ROI
    • 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.75% ROI
    • 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -11.4% ROI

    Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-30 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 4.76% ROI).

    • 35-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.25% ROI
    • 25-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -14.98% ROI
    • 33-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 9.15% ROI

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (65/102) against Dakota Hudson this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

    Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (603/1,035) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

    Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (161/275) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — first Percentile.

    Dakota Hudson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 9 opportunities (56%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

    Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 58% (182/313) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

    Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 55% (90/164) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

    Kutter Crawford has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 36% (12/33) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

    Kutter Crawford has walked 12 of 75 batters (16%) this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

    Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

    The Cardinals are 31-9 (.775) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Cardinals are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Cardinals are 13-3 (.812) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

    The Red Sox are just 121-19 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Red Sox are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Red Sox are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    Cardinals hitters have 174 extra-base hits out of 404 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Cardinals hitters have just 1 strikeout in 21 PA’s (5%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

    The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    Cardinals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,141 PA’s (22%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,219 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.

    Cardinals pitchers have walked 59 of 587 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (1,590 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

    Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.