- The Red Sox (35-30) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (37-29)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-3), 3.28 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (1-1), 5.74 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-30 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -105 | +105 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -115 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 75.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kevin Plawecki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 8.06% ROI).
- 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.58% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.75% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -11.4% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-30 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 4.76% ROI).
- 35-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 25-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 33-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 9.15% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (65/102) against Dakota Hudson this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (603/1,035) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (161/275) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 9 opportunities (56%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 58% (182/313) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 55% (90/164) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 36% (12/33) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has walked 12 of 75 batters (16%) this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cardinals are 31-9 (.775) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Cardinals are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Cardinals are 13-3 (.812) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Red Sox are just 121-19 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Red Sox are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Red Sox are 22-9 (.710) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 174 extra-base hits out of 404 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have just 1 strikeout in 21 PA’s (5%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,141 PA’s (22%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,219 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 59 of 587 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (1,590 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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