- The Cardinals (51-45) are -160 favorites vs the Reds (35-58)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (7-7), 2.54 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (3-7), 4.48 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 51-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-50 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -105 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -115 | U 9.5 -115 | +135 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 70.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 away games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+19.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 60 games (+17.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 51 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Papierski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Papierski | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Papierski | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 67 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-44 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.66% ROI).
- 51-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.84% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.18% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-50 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -11.82% ROI).
- 35-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 51-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 5.62% ROI
- 41-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -15.09% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (170/907) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (13 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .234 (11-for-47) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .257 (52-for-202) against Miles Mikolas in non-two strike counts this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 36% of Tyler Mahle’s breaking pitches (146/406) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (81/257) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (32 GB hits out of 91 GBs) against Tyler Mahle this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .228 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (16 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Tyler Mahle with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Cardinals are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Reds are just 12-46 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Reds are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Reds are just 23-6 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 467 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .278 (421 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Reds are batting just .097 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Reds are batting just .233 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .692 (2,554 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 851 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 732 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 360 of 3,619 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.32 (816.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D10
- Jonathan India (Reds): Thigh, Day-to-Day
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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