Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (51-45) are -160 favorites vs the Reds (35-58)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (7-7), 2.54 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (3-7), 4.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 51-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-50 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -105O 9.5 -105-160
Reds +1.5 -115U 9.5 -115+135

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 70.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 away games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+19.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 60 games (+17.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 51 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Joey Votto 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Michael Papierski 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Nick Senzel 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Joey Votto 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Kyle Farmer 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Michael Papierski 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Nick Senzel 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Joey Votto 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Michael Papierski 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Nick Senzel 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Mahle 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 67 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-44 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.66% ROI).

  • 51-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.48% ROI
  • 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.84% ROI
  • 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.18% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-50 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -11.82% ROI).

  • 35-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -13.25% ROI
  • 51-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 5.62% ROI
  • 41-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -15.09% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (170/907) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (13 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .234 (11-for-47) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .257 (52-for-202) against Miles Mikolas in non-two strike counts this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 36% of Tyler Mahle’s breaking pitches (146/406) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (81/257) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (32 GB hits out of 91 GBs) against Tyler Mahle this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .228 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .444 (16 GB hits out of 36 GBs) against Tyler Mahle with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Cardinals are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Reds are just 12-46 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Reds are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Reds are just 23-6 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 467 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .278 (421 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Reds are batting just .097 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Reds are batting just .233 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .692 (2,554 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 851 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 732 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 360 of 3,619 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.32 (816.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D10
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Thigh, Day-to-Day
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.