- The Reds are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-140) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-23 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-2, 3.69 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-2, 3.41 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -120 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | U 9.5 +100 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 102% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+7.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 53% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-26 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -4.42% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.83% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 30-23 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 6.33% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -7.39% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -2.85% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (125/212) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed 50 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (125/212) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (200/643) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (347/643) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 43 of Nick Lodolo’s 300 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (82/227) against Nick Lodolo this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 26-34 (.433) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Cardinals are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-89 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 34-44 (.436) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Reds are just 48-52 (.480) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 58-43 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .202 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .323 (10,813 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Cardinals have scored first in just 31% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .105 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Reds are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Reds hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Reds are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,387 of 14,508 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 383.6 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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