Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-6 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -145O 8.5 -115+135
Dodgers -1.5 +120U 8.5 -105-160

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cubs vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games (+5.05 Units / 122% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.80 Units / 76% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Yan Gomes 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Yan Gomes 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +195 1.5 -275

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Yan Gomes 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 9.03% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 7.54% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 6.41% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -15.26% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 9.97% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -17.31% ROI

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 60% of the time (28/47) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .378 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 94th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (73/137) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 64% of the time (23/36) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard allowed 30 stolen bases in 2022 — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 33 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard had second base stolen on him 25 times in 2022 — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 6 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 33-21 (.611) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Cubs are just 20-11 (.645) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Cubs were just 29-24 (.547) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Dodgers were just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Cubs are batting .341 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .409 (94 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Cubs hitters are slugging .733 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 22 walks in 110 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,909 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (4,909 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,177 of 12,789 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Cubs pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road in 2022 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1494.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 25 of 470 batters (5%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Oblique, D10
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Dansby Swanson (Cubs): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15

Bet now on Cubs vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.