Cubs vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 29, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Giants (49-50) are -140 favorites vs the Cubs (40-58)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (2-5), 4.37 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-4), 4.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-140) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 40-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-53 ATS.

Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -175O 7.5 -115+115
Giants -1.5 +145U 7.5 -105-140

Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 78.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 45 games (+19.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+17.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+13.50 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Joc Pederson 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Joey Bart 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Joc Pederson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Joey Bart 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Joc Pederson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Joey Bart 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Stroman 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Alex Cobb 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 97 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -4.93% ROI).

  • 40-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -12.72% ROI
  • 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -10.04% ROI
  • 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.76% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-53 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -9.65% ROI).

  • 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -13.32% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -3.55% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.85% ROI

Opponents are hitless in 20 AB’s against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .178 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (16/25) against Marcus Stroman — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .114 (4-for-35) against Marcus Stroman on low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .112 (9 GB hits out of 80 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (141/228) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (71/116) against Alex Cobb this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (507/1,218) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.0 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 53.1.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are 116-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Cubs are just 16-96 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Cubs are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are 21-107 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Giants are 38-2 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 45 double plays in 302 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.

Cubs hitters are slugging .632 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .721 (3,063 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

The Giants are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 1.18 (84.0 IP) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.

Cubs pitchers have walked 924 of 9,970 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 693 of 9,711 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have walked 144 of 2,339 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.