- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | BSFL
The Chicago Cubs (-185) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+150) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-0 ATS.
Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-3, 3.12 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Adam Oller 0-1, 9.65 ERA
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -120 | -185 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -110 | U 9 +100 | +150 |
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+34.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+25.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+24.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+18.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.05 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 46 games (+45.10 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+20.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+20.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+19.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 67 games at home (+28.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Oller (MIA) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .134 (27-for-202) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .429 (238 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .738 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .449 (269 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .141 (32-for-227) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Oller has limited playing time.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are 23-7 (.767) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Cubs are just 4-48 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cubs are just 53-49 (.520) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins are just 15-18 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .756.
The Marlins are just 25-13 (.658) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Marlins are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Marlins are just 3-33 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .286 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,337 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Cubs are batting .272 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Cubs hitters are slugging .445 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 35% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,250 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .369 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 102 of 1,152 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
The Marlins have allowed 5.88 runs per game (400/68) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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