Cubs vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 18, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Orioles (61-56) are -160 favorites vs the Cubs (49-67)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-3), 3.88 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (4-2), 4.23 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 49-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 76-41 ATS.

Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -145O 9 -120+135
Orioles -1.5 +120U 9 +100-160

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 61 games (+20.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+19.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+16.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.55 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games at home (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games at home (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games at home (+13.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)

Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Anthony Santander 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Austin Hays 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Anthony Santander 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Cedric Mullins 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Anthony Santander 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Austin Hays 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spenser Watkins 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
Adrian Sampson 3.5 +100 3.5 -145
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+28.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 97 games (+28.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 79 games (+9.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 94 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 59-57 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.25% ROI).

  • 49-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -12.23% ROI
  • 50-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.45% ROI
  • 59-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.24% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 76-41 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 17.41% ROI).

  • 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.5 Units / 19.85% ROI
  • 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -4.97% ROI
  • 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.72% ROI

Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (15 Total Bases / 25 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 12th Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (13 Total Bases / 22 ABs) at home this month (1 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 12th Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

22 of Spenser Watkins’ 46 strikeouts (48%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (41/133) against Spenser Watkins this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .340 (35-for-103) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (6/29) against Spenser Watkins — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 94th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Cubs are just 18-99 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Cubs are just 25-33 (.431) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Cubs are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Orioles are 7-48 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.

The Orioles are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Orioles are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Orioles are just 28-35 (.444) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 341 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

Cubs hitters have 2,631 strikeouts in 10,372 PA’s (25%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have just 13 strikeouts in 89 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles hitters have 340 strikeouts in 1,371 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 41% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.82 (1135.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.