Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 03, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Brewers are -250 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (3-4), 5.97 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (13-4), 3.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+200) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-250) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 66-93 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -110O 7.5 -120+200
Brewers -1.5 -110U 7.5 +100-250

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 53 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Christian Yelich 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Kolten Wong 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Christian Yelich 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Kolten Wong 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Omar Narvaez 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Kolten Wong 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Omar Narvaez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Woodruff 8.5 -120 8.5 -115
Tommy Henry 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 81 games (+40.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 148 games (+23.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 124 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 72 of their last 139 games (+8.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games at home (+7.82 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 92-67 against the Run Line (+21.1 Units / 10.37% ROI).

  • 73-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -0.68% ROI
  • 72-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 82-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 1.17% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-93 against the Run Line (-35.1 Units / -18.36% ROI).

  • 84-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -9.47% ROI
  • 75-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -4.66% ROI
  • 76-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -3% ROI

Tommy Henry has limited playing time.

Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 75% (21 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/66) against Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brandon Woodruff has struck out 46% (10/22) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (108/200) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are just 111-35 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 122-23 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 54-16 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are just 60-13 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Brewers are just 9-34 (.209) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Brewers are 8-57 (.123) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Brewers are 16-9 (.640) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,637 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .364 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 15%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .218 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Calf, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Emmanuel Rivera (Diamondbacks): Wrist, D60
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.