- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Brewers TV Channel: DBTV | BSWI | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 85-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-74 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 12-6, 3.62 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-5, 4.15 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -130 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+38.10 Units / 112% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+21.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+29.80 Units / 199% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+18.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 97 games (+30.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+20.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 153 games (+11.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 149 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 63 games at home (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 78-75 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -2.06% ROI).
- 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 5.75% ROI
- 87-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.15 Units / 11.29% ROI
- 61-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.45 Units / -20.6% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-74 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.22% ROI).
- 88-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 5.96% ROI
- 78-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 4.42% ROI
- 65-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -12.4% ROI
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .603 (531 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 44% of Zac Gallen’s pitches (52/119) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 59% — second Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 18% (46 SO in 261 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (220/1,149) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 19% (124 SO in 660 PAs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 14th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (86/413) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
The Diamondbacks are 23-14 (.622) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Diamondbacks are 29-176 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Diamondbacks are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 36-81 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Brewers are 45-32 (.584) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 124-23 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Brewers are 37-37 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .284 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,900 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have drawn 156 walks in 1,487 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,740/18,042 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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