Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

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Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 22, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Brewers TV Channel: DBTV | BSWI

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 8-7, 6.29 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.50 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +165O 8 -105+105
Brewers +1.5 -225U 8 -115-125

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 36 games (+36.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+35.80 Units / 211% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+17.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 98 games (+31.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 97 games (+21.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 154 games (+10.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 78 of their last 150 games (+10.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 85 of their last 154 games (+6.04 Units / 3% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Frankie Montas (MIL) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Opponents are hitting .359 (33-for-92) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .259 — second Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 11 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .260 (193-for-742) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 13th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (133 SO in 758 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has struck out 46% (10/22) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 70% (28 SO in 40 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.

The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Diamondbacks are 42-43 (.494) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .373.

The Diamondbacks are 13-48 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are 36-83 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Brewers are just 3-120 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Brewers are 64-28 (.696) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .627.

The Diamondbacks are batting .284 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,012 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Diamondbacks have scored 271 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,852 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting .260 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1442.0 IP) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

Brewers pitchers have 198 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.