Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
  • The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Brewers TV Channel: DBTV | BSWI

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 8-7, 6.29 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.50 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +165O 8 -105+105
Brewers +1.5 -225U 8 -115-125

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 36 games (+36.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+35.80 Units / 211% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+17.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 98 games (+31.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 97 games (+21.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 154 games (+10.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 78 of their last 150 games (+10.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 85 of their last 154 games (+6.04 Units / 3% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Frankie Montas (MIL) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Opponents are hitting .359 (33-for-92) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .259 — second Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 11 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .260 (193-for-742) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 13th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (133 SO in 758 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has struck out 46% (10/22) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 70% (28 SO in 40 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.

The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Diamondbacks are 42-43 (.494) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .373.

The Diamondbacks are 13-48 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are 36-83 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Brewers are just 3-120 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Brewers are 64-28 (.696) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .627.

The Diamondbacks are batting .284 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,012 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Diamondbacks have scored 271 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,852 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers are batting .260 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1442.0 IP) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

Brewers pitchers have 198 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.