Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (103-46) are -225 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (70-80)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (12-3), 2.52 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (17-7), 2.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 70-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 90-58 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -120O 7 -110+180
Dodgers -1.5 +100U 7 -110-225

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 away games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 85 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 64 of his last 97 games (+17.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 64 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 60 games at home (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Gavin Lux 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Joey Gallo 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +105 0.5 -155
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Gavin Lux 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Joey Gallo 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Joey Gallo 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Justin Turner 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
Julio Urias 5.5 -165 5.5 +115
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 72 games (+35.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+14.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+3.18 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 86-63 against the Run Line (+19.55 Units / 10.31% ROI).

  • 70-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 1.53% ROI
  • 66-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -12.03% ROI
  • 78-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.61% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 90-58 against the Run Line (+27.15 Units / 15.16% ROI).

  • 102-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 63-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -11.44% ROI
  • 74-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 2.79% ROI

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .552 (639 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 95th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .297 (172 Total Bases / 580 ABs) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .233 (17-for-73) against Zac Gallen when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .186 (108-for-580) against Zac Gallen this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.

Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (887/1,220) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.5 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (143 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (742 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Opponents are hitting just .269 (147-for-546) against Julio Urias in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 109-34 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 120-22 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 52-15 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Diamondbacks are just 18-63 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 24-87 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Dodgers are 92-17 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 76-4 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .215 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .221 (272 PA’s) against LHP this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (4,158 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,158 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,571 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.28 runs per game (522/159) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

Opponents are hitting just .208 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.