- The Giants (43-41) are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (38-48)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (7-5), 3.42 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-3), 4.73 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-160) on Monday, July 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 38-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 41-43 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -105 | +135 |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+18.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+5.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.80 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| David Villar | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -115 |
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 64 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 48-38 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 5.43% ROI).
- 38-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -5.65% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -9.5% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.52% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 41-43 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 43-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 41-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 38-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -8.14% ROI
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 90th Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (ninth lowest among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (24/123) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (53/283) against Merrill Kelly this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .238 (10-for-42) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 93rd Percentile.
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (108/169) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (585/1,211) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (248/428) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (121/206) against Alex Cobb since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 85-24 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 93-16 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 45-104 (.302) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Diamondbacks are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 30-5 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 3-30 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Giants are 14-6 (.700) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .194 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .222 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Giants hitters are slugging just .372 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Giants hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
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