- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Diamondbacks vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rays TV Channel: DBTV | BSUN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 69-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 62-60 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 3-0, 2.43 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-0, 5.07 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -110 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -110 | +105 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+32.80 Units / 328% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+20.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+18.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+16.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+14.80 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 44 games (+19.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+20.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+19.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 74 of their last 119 games (+26.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 113 games (+14.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 62-62 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -3.81% ROI).
- 69-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 6.41% ROI
- 67-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 6.73% ROI
- 52-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -15.86% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 62-60 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.2% ROI).
- 61-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -10.22% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.12% ROI
Rays vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (263/427) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .193 (54-for-280) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .144 (15 GB hits out of 104 GBs) against Merrill Kelly with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (103-for-795) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 97th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 54% (660/1,234) against Drew Rasmussen since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .334 (244 Total Bases / 730 ABs) since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 73.1.
Drew Rasmussen has an ERA of 2.85 (195.2 IP)since the 2022 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 4.01 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Diamondbacks are just 172-29 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 57-4 (.934) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rays are 27-98 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rays are 16-10 (.615) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,520 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,520 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have 198 strikeouts in 614 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Rays are batting .260 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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