Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (65-72) are -115 favorites vs the Rockies (60-79)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-13), 4.82 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (3-6), 6.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 64-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 72-62 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +125O 11 +100-115
Rockies +1.5 -155U 11 -120-105

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
C.J. Cron 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Michael Toglia 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
C.J. Cron 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Michael Toglia 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
C.J. Cron 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Michael Toglia 0.5 +120 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urena 2.5 -135 2.5 -105
Madison Bumgarner 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 79-54 against the Run Line (+22.35 Units / 13.09% ROI).

  • 64-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.13% ROI
  • 61-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -8.55% ROI
  • 67-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.81% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 72-62 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.98% ROI).

  • 58-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.49% ROI
  • 64-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -4.76% ROI
  • 64-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -4.59% ROI

32 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

63 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (32-for-68) against Madison Bumgarner on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.

63 of Madison Bumgarner’s 151 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

José Ureña: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (280/529) of opposing batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .370 against Jose Urena since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (124/259) of left-handed hitters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .432 (287 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .324 — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 105-33 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 48-14 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-32 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 21-46 (.313) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are 39-4 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Rockies are just 13-32 (.289) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .896 (204 PA’s) against RHP this month (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 15%.

The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4.

The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 498.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.4

Rockies pitchers have walked 228 of 2,630 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.