Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Rockies TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV | MLBN

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 74-76 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 10-6, 4.32 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 -115O 11 -105-175
Rockies +1.5 -105U 11 -115+145

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+37.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 93 games (+32.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games at home (+11.64 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.03 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-73 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.18% ROI).

  • 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 6.55% ROI
  • 86-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.55 Units / 13.06% ROI
  • 58-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.35 Units / -22.31% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 74-76 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -8.27% ROI).

  • 57-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.46 Units / -2.95% ROI
  • 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -6.29% ROI
  • 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.02 Units / -2.45% ROI

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Pavin Smith (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly (ARI) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Antonio Senzatela (COL) 2.5 +115 2.5 -150
Merrill Kelly (ARI) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (282/464) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 276 of Merrill Kelly’s 591 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 47%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 411 of Merrill Kelly’s 984 off-speed pitches out of the zone (42%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .137 (116-for-848) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 95th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Diamondbacks are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Diamondbacks are 9-120 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Diamondbacks are 13-47 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 46-8 (.836) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Rockies are just 52-38 (.578) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rockies are just 29-27 (.518) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Rockies are just 97-14 (.866) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,852 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .738 (281 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.