- The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rockies TV Channel: DBTV | ROTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 74-76 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 10-6, 4.32 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -115 | O 11 -105 | -175 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11 -115 | +145 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+37.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 93 games (+32.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games at home (+11.64 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.03 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-73 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.18% ROI).
- 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 6.55% ROI
- 86-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.55 Units / 13.06% ROI
- 58-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.35 Units / -22.31% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 74-76 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 57-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.46 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.02 Units / -2.45% ROI
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -150 |
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (282/464) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 276 of Merrill Kelly’s 591 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 47%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 411 of Merrill Kelly’s 984 off-speed pitches out of the zone (42%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .137 (116-for-848) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Diamondbacks are 9-120 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Diamondbacks are 13-47 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 46-8 (.836) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 52-38 (.578) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 29-27 (.518) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 97-14 (.866) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,852 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .738 (281 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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