Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 15

Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
AP Photo/Chris Szagola
  • The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Braves
  • Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: ESPN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-115) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Dodgers are 87-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 68-79 ATS.

Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-5, 5.89 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-8, 4.17 ERA

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +155O 9 -120-105
Braves +1.5 -190U 9 +100-115

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Walker Buehler has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 72-75 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 87-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.65 Units / 5.36% ROI
  • 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.05 Units / -14.19% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 68-79 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -7.67% ROI).

  • 80-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.7 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 54-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.7 Units / -26% ROI
  • 88-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.35 Units / 17.37% ROI

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (ATL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton (ATL) 5.5 -110 5.5 -115
Walker Buehler (LAD) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (14 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.

Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .398 — fifth Percentile.

Walker Buehler has allowed an OPS of 1.030 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .488 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (7-for-21) against Walker Buehler with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .165 — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has allowed a slugging percentage of .597 (43 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,064/2,520) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 52 of 503 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 77 of 788 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 159-28 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Dodgers are 259-48 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Dodgers are 57-29 (.663) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Dodgers are 294-143 (.673) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Braves are 37-84 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Braves are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (13,102 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have been successful in 75% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (18,262 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Braves hitters are slugging .478 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .813 (2,856 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Braves hitters are slugging .458 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Braves hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Dodgers pitchers this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (4218.1 IP) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.