Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: Roku

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 82-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 70-66 ATS.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 1-1, 4.75 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 8-7, 4.30 ERA

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +155O 9 -105-105
Diamondbacks +1.5 -190U 9 -115-115

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+26.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 17 games (+49.00 Units / 288% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+15.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 80 games (+26.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+21.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 67-69 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -3.91% ROI).

  • 82-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -2.98% ROI
  • 72-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 3.42% ROI
  • 61-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -12.15% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 70-66 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.36% ROI).

  • 76-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 6.94% ROI
  • 76-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.95 Units / 9.93% ROI
  • 55-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.4 Units / -19.09% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gavin Lux (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Wrobleski (LAD) 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

No Matchup notes for this Game

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 32 of 637 batters (5%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (452/634) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 234 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 256-47 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 156-27 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Dodgers are 110-56 (.663) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Dodgers are 74-130 (.363) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are 19-15 (.559) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Diamondbacks are 21-13 (.618) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Diamondbacks are 19-108 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Diamondbacks are 28-170 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Dodgers are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,837 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .343 (2,565 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks are batting .271 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.