Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 14, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (98-43) are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (66-75)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove (0-0), 4.82 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 4.08 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 96-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 80-58 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +125O 9 -110-130
Diamondbacks +1.5 -150U 9 -110+110

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 78 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 65 of his last 113 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 35 away games (+13.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 62 games at home (+13.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Carson Kelly 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Carson Kelly 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Carson Kelly 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Davies 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 137 games (+10.43 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 63 games (+32.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+12.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 86-52 against the Run Line (+31.4 Units / 18.97% ROI).

  • 96-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 4.18% ROI
  • 59-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.25 Units / -10.67% ROI
  • 68-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 1.98% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 80-58 against the Run Line (+18.7 Units / 10.59% ROI).

  • 65-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI
  • 63-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -9.19% ROI
  • 70-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.26% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (16/83) against Dustin May this month (2 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.

Dustin May has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to August 27th — Drew Rasmussen has the longest active streak at 6.

Dustin May has walked 8 of 49 batters (16%) this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Dustin May has allowed an OBP of .500 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .307 — third Percentile.

Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (345/493) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 62% of the time (1,203/1,951) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (250/1,160) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 34% of Zach Davies’ fastballs (814/2,358) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 88-17 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Dodgers are 48-18 (.727) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Dodgers are 49-25 (.662) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Dodgers are 41-3 (.932) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 117-21 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-32 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 106-33 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,651 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .829 (1,867 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 39% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1369.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (652.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1636.2 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

The Dodgers have allowed 2.96 runs per game (219/74) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 503.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 462.9

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.