Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (42-25) are favorites vs the (42-25)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (4-1), 2.07 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene (3-7), 5.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Los Angeles Dodgers () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 42-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-38 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers O
Reds U

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 63.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 35 away games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 away games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 121% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+5.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Donovan Solano 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jonathan India 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Matt Reynolds 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Donovan Solano 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jonathan India 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Kyle Farmer 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Matt Reynolds 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Donovan Solano 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jonathan India 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Matt Reynolds 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Greene 6.5 +110 6.5 -155
Clayton Kershaw 5.5 +110 5.5 -160
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 67 games (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 38-29 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 7.66% ROI).

  • 42-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -7.28% ROI
  • 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -15.78% ROI
  • 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 7.05% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 30-38 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -15.38% ROI).

  • 23-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -24.83% ROI
  • 37-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 5.21% ROI
  • 30-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -14.76% ROI

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 67% of the time (333/495) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 68% of the time (334/495) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (89/216) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (150/426) against Clayton Kershaw since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Christian Greene: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (79 Total Bases / 129 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (45/167) against Hunter Greene this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (90 Total Bases / 108 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .532 — first Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (46 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Dodgers are 20-12 (.625) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Dodgers are 32-3 (.914) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Dodgers are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Dodgers are 20-4 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Reds are just 7-36 (.163) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Reds are just 2-128 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Reds are just 6-20 (.231) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Reds are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Dodgers hitters have 9 strikeouts in 23 PA’s (39%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .583 (1,381 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .326 (6,376 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

The Reds are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1022.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.59 (305.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.63 (304.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 532 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 881 of 8,809 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.