Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 30, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (67-32) are -225 favorites vs the Rockies (45-56)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (7-2), 2.48 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (5-7), 4.63 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+185) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Dodgers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 67-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 55-46 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -110O 11 +100-225
Rockies +2.5 -110U 11 -120+185

Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 49 away games (+18.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 46 away games (+17.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brian Serven has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Rockies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
C.J. Cron 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Iglesias 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Kris Bryant 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Rockies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
C.J. Cron 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +130 1.5 -190
Jose Iglesias 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Kris Bryant 1.5 +145 1.5 -200

Rockies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
C.J. Cron 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jose Iglesias 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Kris Bryant 0.5 +120 0.5 -175

Rockies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -140 3.5 +100
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 96 games (+17.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+10.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 95 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 90 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 59-40 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 13.31% ROI).

  • 67-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.35% ROI
  • 38-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -18.86% ROI
  • 53-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 9.81% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 55-46 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 2.35% ROI).

  • 45-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.96% ROI
  • 48-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 47-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -5.51% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (98/519) against Clayton Kershaw since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 67% of the time (393/591) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 62% of the time (503/815) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total SL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .178 (416 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (153/301) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (110/225) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .285 (72-for-253) against Kyle Freeland’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — third Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of just 61% (781/1,276) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Dodgers are 32-17 (.653) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 183-38 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rockies are 7-42 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Rockies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 16-30 (.348) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,044 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,728 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,755 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (7,141 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Rockies are batting .285 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.8 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (2,330 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (2,330 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.01 (2335.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.4 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, Day-to-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.