Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Braves (39-30) are -145 favorites vs the Giants (38-29)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (6-4), 2.83 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (4-3), 5.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSO

The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 38-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-33 ATS.

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -165O 9 -120+120
Braves -1.5 +140U 9 +100-145

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 79.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.85 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 55 games (+23.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 57 games (+16.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 55 games (+16.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 40 of his last 57 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Matt Olson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Michael Harris 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael Harris 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Matt Olson 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Michael Harris 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton 6.5 +120 6.5 -165
Carlos Rodon 7.5 -105 7.5 -135
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games (+14.97 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 34-33 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.99% ROI).

  • 38-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -2.13% ROI
  • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -3.04% ROI
  • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -5.73% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 36-33 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.62% ROI).

  • 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 37-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 7.17% ROI
  • 29-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -15.4% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (72 SO in 182 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 30% (91 SO in 298 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .089 (4-for-45) against Carlos Rodon — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 72% (304/421) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has allowed a just .185 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 93rd Percentile and .579 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (851/1,985) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (29/79) against Charlie Morton this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (55/185) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Giants are 18-92 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Giants are 13-2 (.867) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .676.

The Giants are 70-18 (.795) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Giants are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Braves are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.

The Braves are 21-15 (.583) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Braves are 33-9 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Braves are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Giants are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Giants hitters have drawn 194 walks in 1,862 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,554 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Giants hitters are slugging .431 on the road since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Braves hitters are slugging .742 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .565.

Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Braves hitters are slugging .546 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Giants pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Giants pitchers have walked 593 of 8,512 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.