Giants vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 23

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (42-25) are favorites vs the (42-25)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (5-5), 4.32 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (7-4), 2.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Giants vs Braves Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 38-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-34 ATS.

Giants vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants O
Braves U

Giants vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Tommy La Stella has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 64% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 56 games (+24.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 56 games (+17.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 58 games (+15.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 58 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 55 games (+12.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Braves vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Matt Olson 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Michael Harris 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Orlando Arcia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Braves vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Marcell Ozuna 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Michael Harris 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Orlando Arcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Braves vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Matt Olson 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Michael Harris 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Orlando Arcia 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Braves vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Wright 5.5 -145 5.5 +105
Alex Wood 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+13.97 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 35-33 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.24% ROI).

  • 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.09% ROI
  • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -4.33% ROI
  • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -4.31% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 36-34 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.5% ROI).

  • 40-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.09% ROI
  • 37-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 5.78% ROI
  • 30-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -13.87% ROI

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (70/205) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .474 (9 GB hits out of 19 GBs) against Alex Wood with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .209 — first Percentile.

Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .347 (216 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 10th Percentile.

Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .279 (172 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 12th Percentile.

Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (60/102) against Kyle Wright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has a strikeout rate of 49% (88 SO in 178 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (39/114) against Kyle Wright on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 92nd Percentile.

Kyle Wright has walked 12 of 93 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Giants are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Giants are 19-16 (.543) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Giants are 27-4 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Giants are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Braves are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Braves are 18-15 (.545) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Braves are 34-9 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Braves are 14-3 (.824) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

The Giants are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Giants are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.205 (1,711 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.

Giants hitters have drawn 194 walks in 1,888 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters are slugging .744 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .567.

Braves hitters are slugging .548 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Braves hitters have 209 extra-base hits out of 479 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 594 of 8,546 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Back, D15
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.