Giants vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Giants (65-72) are -145 favorites vs the Cubs (57-80)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (12-7), 2.91 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (5-8), 3.84 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (-145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-68 ATS.

Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +115O 7.5 +100-145
Cubs +1.5 -140U 7.5 -120+120

Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dermis Garcia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Nick Allen 0.5 +1200 0.5
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Sean Murphy 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Seth Brown 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dermis Garcia 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Nick Allen 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Sean Murphy 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Seth Brown 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dermis Garcia 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Nick Allen 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Sean Murphy 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Seth Brown 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Kaprielian 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
Lucas Giolito 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Drew Smyly 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Carlos Rodon 6.5 -155 6.5 +110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 129 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.58 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+16.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.59% ROI).

  • 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.26% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.21% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).

  • 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -13.01% ROI
  • 57-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
  • 66-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.29% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (99 SO in 248 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (50 SO in 132 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 32% (201 SO in 634 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (400/1,318) against Carlos Rodon this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 86th Percentile.

Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,239/2,759) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (156/306) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

19 of Drew Smyly’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (681/1,571) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 21-63 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cubs are just 43-8 (.843) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Cubs are just 28-40 (.412) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Cubs are just 44-6 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Giants are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Giants hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .295 (600 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 50 double plays in 359 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 2,066 strikeouts in 8,166 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

The Cubs have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants pitchers have walked 165 of 2,676 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,061 of 11,463 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Dominic Leone (Giants): Elbow, D15
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.