- The Giants (65-72) are -145 favorites vs the Cubs (57-80)
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (12-7), 2.91 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (5-8), 3.84 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (-145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-68 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 +100 | -145 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 -120 | +120 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – away
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – home
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Kaprielian | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Carlos Rodon | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 67 of their last 129 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.58 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+16.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.59% ROI).
- 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.26% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.21% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 57-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
- 66-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (99 SO in 248 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (50 SO in 132 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 32% (201 SO in 634 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (400/1,318) against Carlos Rodon this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 86th Percentile.
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,239/2,759) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (156/306) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
19 of Drew Smyly’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (681/1,571) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 52-4 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Giants are just 7-10 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 21-63 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 4-59 (.063) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Cubs are just 43-8 (.843) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Cubs are just 28-40 (.412) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Cubs are just 44-6 (.880) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .295 (600 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 50 double plays in 359 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 2,066 strikeouts in 8,166 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Cubs have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants pitchers have walked 165 of 2,676 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,061 of 11,463 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Dominic Leone (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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