Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

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(AP Photo/Matt York)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSBA | MLBN

The San Francisco Giants (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Monday, September 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 77-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 82-74 ATS.

Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 4-5, 4.74 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 3-3, 5.01 ERA

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -135O 9 -115+145
Diamondbacks -1.5 +110U 9 -105-175

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+22.50 Units / 132% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jerar Encarnacion has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 36 games (+36.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+20.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+14.50 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+12.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 away games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+8.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 away games (+8.43 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 100 games (+31.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 99 games (+21.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 91 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 78-78 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -3.38% ROI).

  • 77-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -5.68% ROI
  • 79-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 71-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -9.25% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 82-74 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.53% ROI).

  • 87-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 6.16% ROI
  • 89-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.05 Units / 11.6% ROI
  • 62-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.65 Units / -20.9% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120

Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 59% (703/1,195) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has walked 38 of 273 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (90/273 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.2 MPH this season (157 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 88.9

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Eduardo Rodriguez in his last two starts — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .161 (15-for-93) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 381.5 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 386.1 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 398.5

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 129-4 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 194-6 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are just 51-77 (.398) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Giants are 46-30 (.605) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Diamondbacks are 25-15 (.625) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Diamondbacks are 47-36 (.566) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Diamondbacks are just 144-12 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (8,530 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Giants are batting just .223 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .299 (4,225 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Giants are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,852 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .344 at home this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,056 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 182 of 2,823 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.69 (685.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.