Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
  • The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 78-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 82-75 ATS.

Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 12-10, 3.58 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 10-9, 4.67 ERA

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -175O 8 -105+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +145U 8 -115-150

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+23.50 Units / 107% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jerar Encarnacion has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 37 games (+35.10 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+21.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+13.50 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+12.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 away games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 away games (+9.43 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+7.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 101 games (+31.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 100 games (+20.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 92 games (+14.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 79-78 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -2.87% ROI).

  • 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • 79-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 71-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -9.19% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 82-75 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI).

  • 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 5.15% ROI
  • 89-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.05 Units / 11.53% ROI
  • 62-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.65 Units / -20.77% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Webb (SF) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 6.5 +105 6.5 -140

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (339/599) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Logan Webb this season is 425.3 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 397.9

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (364/599) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (728/1,218) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (513/722) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 39 of 724 batters (5%) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 85th Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 11 of 266 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .258 (174-for-674) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 17th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 130-4 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are just 35-49 (.417) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Giants are just 51-77 (.398) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Giants are 30-200 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Diamondbacks are 29-177 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Diamondbacks are 130-32 (.798) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Diamondbacks are just 144-12 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Giants hitters have 862 strikeouts in 3,430 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Giants are batting just .220 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .233 (6,502 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Giants are batting just .216 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (2,890 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,943 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,094 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 904 of 11,932 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (694.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.