- The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Phillies TV Channel: ATV+
The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-155) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Giants are 15-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 16-16 ATS.
Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 2-0, 1.57 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 4-1, 3.26 ERA
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -110 | +130 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -155 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+17.40 Units / 116% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+15.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+13.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+12.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 15-17 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -7.42% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -15.42% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -13.07% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.79% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 16-16 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 11.17% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -13.45% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.81% ROI
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 770 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (40/252) against Jordan Hicks since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .191 (114-for-596) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (242/687) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (30/49) against Aaron Nola this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .268 (85-for-317) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — eighth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 79-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Giants are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 21-21 (.500) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 11-134 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are just 15-21 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 59-38 (.608) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .399 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have 999 strikeouts in 4,062 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,130 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .500 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .572 (632 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .351 (444 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 218 of 3,162 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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