- The Mariners are -165 favorites vs the Angels
- Mariners vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Angels TV Channel: RTNW | BSW | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (-165) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+140) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 51-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 51-41 ATS.
Mariners vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 7-9, 3.72 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mariners vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | -165 |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | +140 |
Mariners vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+17.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+17.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 29 games (+20.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 43-51 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -10.81% ROI).
- 51-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.62% ROI
- 38-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -17.96% ROI
- 52-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 9.72% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 51-41 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -3.29% ROI).
- 38-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -8% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.07% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -6.01% ROI
Angels vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Angels vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo allowed a batting average of just .195 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 85th Percentile and .284 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .411 (97 Total Bases / 236 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — fourth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 38 of 468 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 20th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .259 (467 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 86th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mariners are 61-11 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 29-2 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Mariners are 94-15 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mariners are 44-19 (.698) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Angels are just 96-10 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Angels are just 50-20 (.714) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Angels are just 24-110 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Angels are just 18-23 (.439) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 974 strikeouts in 3,447 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners are batting just .217 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 1,919 strikeouts in 7,127 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 45% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .400 (71 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,203 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Angels are batting just .240 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (196.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (1182.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners pitchers have walked 41 of 835 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 82 of 816 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 232 of 2,250 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 354 of 3,690 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,519 of 15,823 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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