Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • The Mariners (29-39) are -145 favorites vs the Athletics (23-45)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-7), 3.40 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-4), 6.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Seattle Mariners (-145) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 29-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 31-37 ATS.

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +120O 8.5 -105-145
Athletics +1.5 -145U 8.5 -115+120

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 away games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +375 0.5 -600
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Jesse Winker 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

    Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Jesse Winker 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

    Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Jesse Winker 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    James Kaprielian 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.97 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -12.24% ROI).

    • 29-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -12.99% ROI
    • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -8.16% ROI
    • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.13% ROI

    Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 31-37 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -16.96% ROI).

    • 23-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -22.78% ROI
    • 29-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -13.49% ROI
    • 35-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 4.11% ROI

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 14% (40 SO in 293 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (40 SO in 139 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (436/880) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has struck out just 13% (30/231) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

    James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    James Kaprielian has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to May 17th — Rony Garcia has the longest active streak at 7.

    James Kaprielian has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.

    Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 7% (6/91) against James Kaprielian this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .333 (27/81) against James Kaprielian this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .194 — 0 Percentile.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

    The Mariners are just 7-33 (.175) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

    The Mariners are just 15-18 (.455) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Mariners are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Mariners are 17-5 (.773) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

    Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Athletics are just 8-26 (.235) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Athletics are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

    The Athletics are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    The Athletics are just 23-39 (.371) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

    Mariners hitters have drawn 81 walks in 717 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,742 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

    Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .585 (1,742 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

    The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    Athletics hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.9 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0

    Athletics pitchers have walked 164 of 2,549 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 79% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Athletics pitchers have walked 132 of 2,033 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.