Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Mariners (29-39) are -145 favorites vs the Athletics (23-45)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-7), 3.40 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-4), 6.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Seattle Mariners (-145) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+120) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 29-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 31-37 ATS.

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +120O 8.5 -105-145
Athletics +1.5 -145U 8.5 -115+120

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 away games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +375 0.5 -600
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Jesse Winker 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

    Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Jesse Winker 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

    Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Jesse Winker 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    James Kaprielian 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.97 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -12.24% ROI).

    • 29-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -12.99% ROI
    • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -8.16% ROI
    • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.13% ROI

    Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 31-37 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -16.96% ROI).

    • 23-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -22.78% ROI
    • 29-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -13.49% ROI
    • 35-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 4.11% ROI

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 14% (40 SO in 293 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (40 SO in 139 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (436/880) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has struck out just 13% (30/231) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

    James Kaprielian: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    James Kaprielian has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to May 17th — Rony Garcia has the longest active streak at 7.

    James Kaprielian has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.

    Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 7% (6/91) against James Kaprielian this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .333 (27/81) against James Kaprielian this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .194 — 0 Percentile.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

    The Mariners are just 7-33 (.175) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

    The Mariners are just 15-18 (.455) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Mariners are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Mariners are 17-5 (.773) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

    Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Athletics are just 8-26 (.235) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

    The Athletics are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

    The Athletics are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    The Athletics are just 23-39 (.371) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

    Mariners hitters have drawn 81 walks in 717 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,742 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

    Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .585 (1,742 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

    The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    Athletics hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.9 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0

    Athletics pitchers have walked 164 of 2,549 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 79% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Athletics pitchers have walked 132 of 2,033 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.