Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (81-67) are -250 favorites vs the Athletics (55-94)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (7-4), 2.98 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (4-5), 5.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Seattle Mariners (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+190) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 80-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-76 ATS.

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 -130O 7 +100-250
Athletics +1.5 +105U 7 -120+190

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Nick Allen 0.5 +1300 0.5
Sean Murphy 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Seth Brown 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Jordan Diaz 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Nick Allen 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Sean Murphy 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Seth Brown 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Conner Capel 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Nick Allen 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Sean Murphy 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Seth Brown 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +105 5.5 -145
Adrian Martinez 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 78-67 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 0.86% ROI).

  • 80-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.24% ROI
  • 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -8.15% ROI
  • 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.59% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 72-76 against the Run Line (-18.5 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 54-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -10.99% ROI
  • 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -9.71% ROI
  • 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.05% ROI

George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 65.0 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .369 (58 GB hits out of 157 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 8 of 249 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

George Kirby has not allowed a walk in his last 85 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 31st — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 177.

Adrian Martinez: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .519 (27 PA’s) versus the top of the order this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .320 — first Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .406 (69 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .302 — third Percentile.

Adrian Martinez has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (98/279) this month (3 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Adrian Martinez this month (3 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .249 — sixth Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 37-11 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Mariners are 8-54 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Mariners are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 25-49 (.338) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Athletics are just 2-74 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Athletics are just 6-72 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters have drawn 169 walks in 1,553 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,610 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (3,975 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,388 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 891 of 11,561 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 113 of 1,315 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.