- The Mariners (81-67) are -250 favorites vs the Athletics (55-94)
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (7-4), 2.98 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (4-5), 5.77 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+190) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 80-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-76 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -130 | O 7 +100 | -250 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 7 -120 | +190 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 52 away games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -145 |
| Adrian Martinez | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 78-67 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 0.86% ROI).
- 80-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -8.15% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.59% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 72-76 against the Run Line (-18.5 Units / -9.77% ROI).
- 54-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.05% ROI
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 65.0 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .369 (58 GB hits out of 157 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 8 of 249 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a walk in his last 85 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 31st — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 177.
Adrian Martinez: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .519 (27 PA’s) versus the top of the order this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .320 — first Percentile.
Adrian Martinez has allowed an OBP of .406 (69 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .302 — third Percentile.
Adrian Martinez has thrown his changeup 35% of the time (98/279) this month (3 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Adrian Martinez this month (3 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .249 — sixth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 37-11 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mariners are 8-54 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Mariners are 35-5 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Mariners are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 25-49 (.338) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Athletics are just 2-74 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 6-72 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .165 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mariners hitters have drawn 169 walks in 1,553 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,610 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .279 (3,975 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,388 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 891 of 11,561 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 113 of 1,315 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Finger, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
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