- The Mariners (45-42) are -105 favorites vs the Nationals (30-58)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (5-8), 4.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-5), 4.13 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Mariners vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 45-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 37-51 ATS.
Mariners vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +150 | O 9 +100 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -120 | -115 |
Mariners vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 45-42 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.36% ROI).
- 45-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 2.95% ROI
- 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -7.35% ROI
- 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.5% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 37-51 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -20.25% ROI).
- 30-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.85 Units / -20.44% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -5.98% ROI
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (489/810) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (141/260) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 40% of the time (375/937) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .267 (94-for-352) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 15th Percentile.
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (63/228) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 57% (377/663) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (39/132) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 23 of 159 left-handed batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mariners are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Mariners are 32-6 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Mariners are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Nationals are just 9-53 (.145) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Nationals are just 14-31 (.311) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are just 30-51 (.370) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 101-16 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting .396 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mariners hitters have not struck out in 11 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters have drawn 99 walks in 878 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 62 opportunities (26%) this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Nationals have grounded 246 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 0.99 runs per game (86/87) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 4 of 101 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (364.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals pitchers have walked 12 of 100 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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