Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (49-42) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (41-47)
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-3), 2.80 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (1-1), 8.04 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Seattle Mariners (-155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mariners are 49-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 51-37 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +110O 8 -105-155
Rangers +1.5 -135U 8 -115+125

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 away games (+20.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 83 games (+13.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 away games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 44 away games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 41 games at home (+18.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Corey Seager 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Kole Calhoun 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Leody Taveras 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Corey Seager 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Kole Calhoun 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Leody Taveras 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Corey Seager 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Kole Calhoun 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Leody Taveras 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Howard 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
Logan Gilbert 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+17.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 77 games (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+3.33 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 48-43 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.53% ROI).

  • 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.6% ROI
  • 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -5.02% ROI
  • 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -3.65% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-37 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 41-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -4.93% ROI
  • 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -6.14% ROI

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .181 (243 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (18-for-42) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — ninth Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .523 (190 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 93rd Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of .767 (247 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 16th Percentile.

Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (5/20) against Spencer Howard against right-handed batters — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (13/63) against Spencer Howard this month (2 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.

Spencer Howard has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 40 PAs) this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .300 (6-for-20) against Spencer Howard with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .164 — fourth Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 36-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mariners are 22-5 (.815) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Mariners are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Rangers are just 21-24 (.467) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rangers are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have drawn 106 walks in 926 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Rangers hitters have drawn 195 walks in 2,846 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,531 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (11,380 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Rangers are batting .408 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 110 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 71 of 788 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • John Crawford (Mariners): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.