- The Mariners (49-42) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (41-47)
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert (10-3), 2.80 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (1-1), 8.04 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (-155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mariners are 49-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 51-37 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -155 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | +125 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 away games (+20.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 83 games (+13.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 away games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 44 away games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 41 games at home (+18.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 79% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Howard | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+17.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 77 games (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+3.33 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 48-43 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.53% ROI).
- 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.6% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -5.02% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -3.65% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 51-37 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 9.35% ROI).
- 41-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -4.93% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -6.14% ROI
Logan Gilbert: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .181 (243 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (18-for-42) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — ninth Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .523 (190 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 93rd Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of .767 (247 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 16th Percentile.
Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (5/20) against Spencer Howard against right-handed batters — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (13/63) against Spencer Howard this month (2 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Spencer Howard has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 40 PAs) this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (6-for-20) against Spencer Howard with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .164 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 36-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mariners are 22-5 (.815) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Mariners are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Mariners are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Rangers are just 21-24 (.467) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Rangers are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 106 walks in 926 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 195 walks in 2,846 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,531 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (11,380 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Rangers are batting .408 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 110 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 71 of 788 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- John Crawford (Mariners): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
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