- The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
- Mariners vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / White Sox TV Channel: FOX
The Seattle Mariners (-140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+120) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mariners are 54-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 47-59 ATS.
Mariners vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 4-1, 2.56 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 7-3, 2.98 ERA
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -110 | -140 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -110 | +120 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+9.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games at home (+15.50 Units / 129% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Erick Fedde has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 46-59 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -13.12% ROI).
- 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 42-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -19.53% ROI
- 59-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 11.14% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 47-59 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -13.76% ROI).
- 27-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -43.3 Units / -39.67% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.55 Units / -12.52% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 4.35% ROI
White Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Erick Fedde (CWS) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (1,603/2,150) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (15/21) against Bryan Woo in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 72% (508/702) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 5 of 190 batters (3%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 18% (25 SO in 135 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (341/686) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (339/583) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (6/68) against Erick Fedde on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Mariners are 102-18 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mariners are 55-7 (.887) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 35-39 (.473) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox are just 23-27 (.460) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The White Sox are just 26-69 (.274) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The White Sox are just 6-14 (.300) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The White Sox are just 13-13 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Mariners are batting just .216 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 146 of 2,379 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 1,114 of 15,697 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 49 of 924 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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