The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Chicago White Sox (+100) on Saturday, March 23, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 5-8 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-14 ATS.
Mariners vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -120 |
| White Sox | +100 |
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 82% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 8-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 8.25% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -19.88% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 35.34% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -45.36% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 7-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -33.53% ROI).
- 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -38.7% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -21.58% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 13.73% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby walked 19 of 757 batters (3%) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio was 9.1 (172/19) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (958/1,351) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby had a strike rate of 73% (501/686) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Nastrini is making his MLB debut today.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 31-30 (.508) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Mariners are 138-6 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The White Sox are just 31-37 (.456) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers had a strike rate of 67% in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
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