- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Giants TV Channel: BSFL | NSBA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 49-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 67-69 ATS.
Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-6, 5.69 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -150 |
Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 48 games (+37.40 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+20.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 38 games (+42.00 Units / 111% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+17.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 63 away games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 108 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games at home (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 104 games (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 62-73 against the Run Line (-31.56 Units / -17.85% ROI).
- 49-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.6 Units / -14.58% ROI
- 74-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.05 Units / 8.76% ROI
- 56-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.35 Units / -16.44% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 67-69 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -4.14% ROI).
- 68-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -5.16% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.2% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -8.68% ROI
Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonah Bride (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Derek Hill (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Bride (MIA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Black (SF) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 106 of 743 batters (14%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 139 of 1,034 batters (13%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 72 of 485 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 31 of 182 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 27-13 (.675) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Marlins are just 6-6 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Marlins are just 18-18 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .752.
The Marlins are just 5-20 (.200) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 45-24 (.652) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are 30-190 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are 22-125 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 10-129 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (4,304 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .368 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,501 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Giants hitters have 1,297 strikeouts in 5,223 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .247 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .199 (559 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (26 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 467.2
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (642.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Marlins pitchers have walked 60 of 513 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.83 runs per game (402/69) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 55 of 448 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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