- The Mets (95-56) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (55-95)
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (14-8), 3.31 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (9-11), 3.78 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The New York Mets (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+185) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 95-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-77 ATS.
Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -125 | O 7 -105 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 7 -115 | +185 |
Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 47 of his last 73 away games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 69 games (+19.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+16.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 53 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Capel | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Capel | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Capel | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
| Chris Bassitt | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 151 games (+11.17 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 66% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 82-68 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 95-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 3.81% ROI
- 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 2.56% ROI
- 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -11.28% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 72-77 against the Run Line (-19.5 Units / -10.24% ROI).
- 54-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.43% ROI
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (85/480) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (68/379) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 71.6 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (35/202) against Chris Bassitt this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (43/246) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (114 SO in 670 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has located his pitches away 58% of the time (260/451) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 12% (3/24) against Cole Irvin — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mets are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 33-7 (.825) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Mets are 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Mets are 45-30 (.600) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Athletics are just 42-12 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Athletics are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Athletics are just 15-40 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,013 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,717 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .359 (577 PA’s) against RHP this month (20 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Mets hitters have just 784 strikeouts in 4,013 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,650 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,008 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have walked 78 of 1,344 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Nimmo (Mets): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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