Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Mets (95-56) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (55-95)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (14-8), 3.31 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (9-11), 3.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The New York Mets (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+185) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 95-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-77 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 -125O 7 -105-225
Athletics +1.5 +105U 7 -115+185

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 47 of his last 73 away games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 69 games (+19.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+16.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 53 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Athletics vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Capel 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Dermis Garcia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Nick Allen 0.5 +1400 0.5
Sean Murphy 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Athletics vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Capel 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Dermis Garcia 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jordan Diaz 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Nick Allen 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Sean Murphy 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Athletics vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Capel 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Dermis Garcia 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jordan Diaz 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Nick Allen 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Sean Murphy 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
Chris Bassitt 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 151 games (+11.17 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 82-68 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 7.29% ROI).

  • 95-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 3.81% ROI
  • 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 2.56% ROI
  • 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -11.28% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 72-77 against the Run Line (-19.5 Units / -10.24% ROI).

  • 54-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -11.56% ROI
  • 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.43% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (85/480) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (68/379) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 71.6 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — sixth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (35/202) against Chris Bassitt this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (43/246) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (114 SO in 670 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has located his pitches away 58% of the time (260/451) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 12% (3/24) against Cole Irvin — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 33-7 (.825) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Mets are 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Mets are 45-30 (.600) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are just 42-12 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Athletics are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Athletics are just 15-40 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,013 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,717 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .359 (577 PA’s) against RHP this month (20 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Mets hitters have just 784 strikeouts in 4,013 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,650 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,008 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have walked 78 of 1,344 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 9% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Brandon Nimmo (Mets): Quad, Day-to-Day
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
  • Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
  • Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.