Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 11:36 AM
  • The Athletics (56-96) are +260 underdogs vs the Mets (96-57)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (10-4), 2.15 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears (6-2), 3.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-350) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+260) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 2.5 (-105).

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 96-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 74-78 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5O 7 -115-350
Athletics +2.5U 7 -105+260

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Athletics vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 48 of his last 74 away games (+22.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 71 games (+20.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 63 games (+18.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 54 games (+17.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 55 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 83-70 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 6.19% ROI).

  • 96-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 2.14% ROI
  • 79-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 2.98% ROI
  • 67-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -11.72% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 74-78 against the Run Line (-17.9 Units / -9.25% ROI).

  • 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -8.95% ROI
  • 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -8.32% ROI
  • 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.24% ROI

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .220 (619 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .215 (186 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OPS of just .498 (278 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .175 (48-for-274) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.

John Patrick Sears: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

JP Sears has allowed an OPS of .925 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .479 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .325 (13-for-40) against JP Sears with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed an OBP of .400 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed an OBP of .476 (21 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .279 — third Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets are 84-3 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Mets are 46-31 (.597) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are 50-26 (.658) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Mets are 48-6 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are just 2-76 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Athletics are just 26-51 (.338) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Athletics are just 54-81 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,030 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Mets have scored first in 70% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Mets are batting .366 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Mets are batting .262 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,040 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,460 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mets pitchers have walked 168 of 2,738 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (90.0 IP) at home this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.

The Athletics have allowed 6.50 runs per game (130/20) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.48 (175.0 IP) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.

The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
  • Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
  • Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.