- The Athletics (56-96) are +260 underdogs vs the Mets (96-57)
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (10-4), 2.15 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears (6-2), 3.58 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-350) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+260) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –2.5 (-105).
The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 96-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 74-78 ATS.
Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 | O 7 -115 | -350 |
| Athletics | +2.5 | U 7 -105 | +260 |
Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 48 of his last 74 away games (+22.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 71 games (+20.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 63 games (+18.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 54 games (+17.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 55 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 83-70 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 6.19% ROI).
- 96-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 2.14% ROI
- 79-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 2.98% ROI
- 67-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -11.72% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 74-78 against the Run Line (-17.9 Units / -9.25% ROI).
- 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -8.95% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -8.32% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.24% ROI
Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .220 (619 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .215 (186 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OPS of just .498 (278 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (48-for-274) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
John Patrick Sears: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has allowed an OPS of .925 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .479 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .325 (13-for-40) against JP Sears with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed an OBP of .400 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed an OBP of .476 (21 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .279 — third Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mets are 84-3 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Mets are 46-31 (.597) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Mets are 50-26 (.658) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Mets are 48-6 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Athletics are just 2-76 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Athletics are just 26-51 (.338) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Athletics are just 54-81 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,030 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets have scored first in 70% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets are batting .366 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Mets are batting .262 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .274 (2,682 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,040 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,460 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 58% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 168 of 2,738 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (90.0 IP) at home this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.
The Athletics have allowed 6.50 runs per game (130/20) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.48 (175.0 IP) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
- Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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