- The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Mets vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNY | DBTV | MLBN
The New York Mets (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Mets are 68-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-63 ATS.
Mets vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 9-5, 3.51 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 2-0, 3.94 ERA
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -105 | -110 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -115 | -110 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+38.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+21.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+33.70 Units / 80% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+18.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 72 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 83 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 74 games (+25.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+23.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 63-68 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -5.57% ROI).
- 68-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -7.58% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 68-63 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.52% ROI).
- 75-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.25 Units / 9.16% ROI
- 72-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.1 Units / 8.34% ROI
- 54-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -17.41% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 25 of 225 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 24 of 225 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .213 (108-for-506) against Sean Manaea this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 87th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (30 Total Bases / 130 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 399.0
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (109/381) against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 1.52 (65.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 4.13 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.10 (94.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 99th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are just 53-6 (.898) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Mets are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Mets are just 14-64 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Mets are 18-14 (.562) after a road loss this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are 19-13 (.594) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
The Diamondbacks are 9-113 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Diamondbacks are 122-29 (.803) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Diamondbacks are 21-13 (.618) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,145 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mets have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mets hitters are slugging .442 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Mets won only 40% of their road games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .972 (293 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Diamondbacks are batting .326 at home this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 497 of 4,992 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 244 of 2,583 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 104 of 1,171 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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